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NDIS Reform Legislation Faces Senate Battle Amid Budget Pressure

News•13 July 2026•5 min readEasy Read
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NDIS Reform Legislation Faces Senate Battle Amid Budget Pressure

💡 Quick Summary

The Albanese government is pushing to pass major NDIS reform legislation to curb the program's annual cost growth from ten percent down to two percent. However, the bill faces resistance in the Senate, where a committee has heard concerns from participants worried about potential reductions in support. The outcome of these legislative negotiations will shape the funding and administration of the scheme for years to come.

The Albanese government wants to pass its NDIS reform law within a two-week sitting period starting Monday. The NDIS is the National Disability Insurance Scheme. It supports Australians with permanent and significant disability.

The scheme's rising cost and a tough Senate inquiry now threaten the government's plan to save money. A Senate inquiry is when senators examine a bill closely before it becomes law. The outcome of these two weeks will shape the scheme for years.

Key takeaways

  • The reform bill aims to cut yearly NDIS cost growth to 2% over four years, down from about 10% now.
  • The government wants Coalition support to pass the NDIS law. It relies on the Greens for its separate tax changes.
  • Senate inquiry evidence includes testimony from participants who describe possible harm from the proposed cuts.
  • The government may have to accept a longer Senate inquiry before the bill can pass.

What is happening with the NDIS budget cuts under Albanese?

Annual NDIS Cost Growth Projections

Annual NDIS Cost Growth Projections

The Albanese government is now a little over a year into its second term. It is fighting several legislative battles at once: tax reform, NDIS changes and migration. This analysis comes from The Conversation.

The pressure is high. NDIS reform sits at the heart of the federal budget's savings plan. Any delay carries serious cost.

The government has introduced a law to put the scheme on tighter finances. In its own words, the bill will "fight fraud and stop rorts, slow rapid cost increases, [and] make eligibility requirements clearer." Eligibility means the rules for who can get NDIS support.

Critics say the changes will make outcomes worse for vulnerable people. The Senate inquiry backs this view. It has heard what The Conversation calls "heart-tugging stories of people potentially disadvantaged by the cutbacks to come."

The government's plan depends on other parties. It looks to the Coalition — the Liberal-National opposition — to help pass the NDIS bill. It relies on the Greens to support its tax package.

There was talk that the Coalition and the Greens might team up to extend both Senate inquiries. That would have stalled both bills. The Conversation reports this now looks unlikely.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers held a news conference on Thursday. They announced $475 million in changes to the tax package. The Conversation sees this as a sign that Albanese wants to smooth the bill's path through the Senate.

How do the NDIS funding changes affect the budget?

NDIS funding changes across Australia are central to the government's sums. The scheme now grows at about 10% each year. The reform law aims to slow this sharply.

MetricCurrent PositionTarget Under Reform Bill
Annual NDIS cost growth~10%2% (next four years)
Annual NDIS cost growth (longer term)~10%~5% (after four years)
Tax package amendments announced—$475 million over forward estimates
Small businesses eligible for CGT concessionsTurnover up to $2 millionTurnover up to $10 million
Net Overseas Migration (NOM), 2025 calendar year~550,000 peak (post-pandemic)301,000 (latest release)

The Conversation calls the 2% growth target "highly ambitious." The government expects reform to take years. It plans for state governments to fill gaps left by federal cuts. The longer this takes, the harder the target is to meet.

States are resisting taking on more responsibility as the federal government pulls back. The Conversation describes states "collectively jacking up." The federal government thinks this may just be posturing.

The stakes are clear. The Conversation states that NDIS reform "is at the heart of the budget's savings and slippage would have serious fiscal consequences."

What does the NDIS reform bill mean for participants?

Much depends on what survives the Senate process. The bill sets a framework for tighter eligibility and slower funding growth. If passed as it stands, participants could face harder access to supports. Their plans could face more scrutiny.

The Senate inquiry has heard evidence from participants who describe possible harm. That testimony has hurt the government politically. It has strengthened calls, mainly from the Greens, to extend the inquiry.

The Conversation reports the government now expects it may accept a longer inquiry. That would delay the bill.

For anyone getting NDIS support or applying now, the near-term reality is uncertainty. The reform is not yet law. The government's goals — cutting fraud, clarifying eligibility and slowing cost growth — will be tested against the lived experience of participants.

Any NDIS provider in Melbourne or elsewhere should note one point. If the 2% growth target becomes law, it will limit the total funding pool for participants over four years. Providers and participants should watch the Senate closely over the coming fortnight.

The wider politics add to the volatility. Pauline Hanson's One Nation party complicates the government's position on both NDIS and migration. The decisions made in Canberra in coming weeks will set the direction of the NDIS. Participants deserve to know exactly what is at stake.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the NDIS reform bill propose to change?

According to the source, the NDIS reform bill sets a framework for more restricted scheme access, targeting annual cost growth of just 2% over the next four years — down from the current rate of approximately 10%. The government says the bill will fight fraud, slow cost increases, and make eligibility requirements clearer. Critics argue the changes will worsen outcomes for vulnerable participants.

Who needs to vote for the NDIS legislation to pass?

The Albanese government is looking to the Coalition (the Liberal-National opposition) as its primary legislative partner to pass the NDIS reform bill in the Senate, according to the source. This is separate from its tax reform package, for which it is seeking Greens support.

Will the NDIS reform bill pass the Senate this fortnight?

The government hopes to pass the NDIS legislation during the parliamentary sitting beginning Monday, but the source reports the expectation is that it may be forced to accept a longer Senate inquiry before the bill can proceed. The inquiry has heard evidence from participants describing potential harm from the proposed cutbacks.

How do the proposed NDIS funding changes affect participants right now?

The reform legislation is not yet law. Until the bill passes, current NDIS arrangements remain in place. However, if the bill passes as introduced, participants could face tighter eligibility criteria and slower growth in the overall funding pool available to the scheme — from approximately 10% annual growth to 2% over the next four years, rising to about 5% after that.

Why are the states resisting the NDIS reform?

According to the source, state governments are reluctant to take on greater responsibility for disability supports as the Commonwealth scales back its role under the reform framework. The federal government believes this resistance may be posturing, but the source notes it is politically damaging and mirrors resistance the government encountered during its reform push in its previous term.


Written and reviewed by the LuminCare team — a registered NDIS provider supporting participants across Australia. Last updated 14 July 2026. This article is general information, not personal advice; for decisions about your plan, speak with your support coordinator or the NDIA.

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